Saturday, March 7, 2009
Circulation Stockings For Sale
Let's talk about elections in which the winner must be one.
- Mayor
- the Members of a single-member constituency
- the ruling party of my electoral system (already described some time ago)
The runoff between two candidates only have some disadvantages. Has the effect of centralizing policy. In other words, the winner is the candidate / party that is moved closer to the center (remember my definition of political center of gravity?).
In the French presidential elections of 2002, a runoff between Jacques Chirac (center right) and Lepen (far right) could have only one result.
De Gaulle, in his genius (or the genius of his advisers), proposed for the 'National Assembly a two-round electoral system where the ballot are allowed students who pass the threshold of 12.5%. Clearly, the cone withdrawal permitted. This system gives only four major parties in parliament (Oh well ', lately 5 or 6, under the double shift, which tends to create new political entities, but will not be discussed here).
My proposal, in a situation to determine a single candidate, is this: go to the ballot
all those who, theoretically, would have a chance to win.
Let me explain.
There are five parties. A, B, C, D, E. Assume that the second round pass A and B. What do the voters?
trivial:
- Voters who voted in the first round of A, re-vote for A;
- Voters who voted for the first round B, re-vote for B;
- The voters in the first round who voted for C, must choose between A and B;
- Voters who voted in the first round of D, must choose between A and B;
- Voters who voted for the first round and have to choose between A and B.
Basically, the winner is determined largely by the votes lost. And 'the purpose of the double shift, in fact.
Let us set of numbers: A-35%
% B-28 C-17 D-15%%
E-5%
I say now, that C would win. If in fact we went to the runoff between A, B and C and D ex-voters to vote for C and E, the end result would
A-35 B-28%%
C-17% + 15% + 5% = 37%. C
therefore well placed to go to the second round. The same thing could not be said for D and E.
Bufo, no?
The result is a second round with a wider range of choices (compared with two canons), but where each party has the opportunity to potentially win. Quite different from the French system where a party with 13% must make arrangements to force withdrawal if he have any chance of victory.
ex-voters ...
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