Mansfield Texas Brazilian Wax

'm a moron ...

... perché avrei potuto vincere qualche bella scommessa.

Puntando su cosa?
MA SULLE ULTIME ELEZIONI EUROPEE, OVVIAMENTE!

Avevo previsto i risultati. All . If I had written on this blog one month before the elections, this time I consider myself a god ...

The only thing I did not predict (and here I am struggle with the strange and incomprehensible attitude of the communists) was that the far-left splits.
Ahi ahi ahi! If the leaders had dell'ultrasinistra leading only half the ideas I have, could have brought home some nice seat. But back to us:

These are my predictions, compared with the results:
PDL - slightly less than the last election - expected 35% - 35% result
LEAGUE - little more than the last election - expected 10% - 10% result
PD - let alone the last election - expected 25% - risultato 26%
UDC - poco di più delle ultime elezioni - previsto 8% - risultato 6,5%
IDV - poco di più delle ultime elezioni - previsto 8% - risultato 8%
ULTRASINISTRA - tanto di più delle ultime elezioni - previsto 8% - risultato 3,5% + 3,2%

I motivi? Chiaramente, ci sono gli ammalati, quelli che erano al mare, i morti, i nuovi elettori maggiorenni, ecc ecc. Ma, principalmente,

Questi "spostamenti" sono dovuti alle differenti leggi elettorali tra le politiche e le europee. Punto.

E' inutile che il PD gridi "abbiamo perso voti". Non ha perso nessun voto! Semplicemente alle politiche del 2008 un sacco di elettori di "sinistra arcobaleno" (SA) has chosen to vote PD (holding your nose) it was the only party that could stand up to Berlusconi. I had estimated that these "traitors" were about half of the total electorate of SA. Hence my estimate doubled (from 3.9% in 2008 to 8% in 2009).
I certainly could not predict who had the courage (or neglect) to run alone ...

The PD is "worth" 25% of the vote today and was worth 25% of the vote in 2008.

It 's the different electoral system (proportional, albeit small dam) that, by promoting sincere voting, revealed the true weight of the parties. It was expected that large parties lose votes, and the little they earn.
Proportional voting system
= true;
majority system = tactical voting.

Apply these two equally dear friends, and you'll get the results of the 2009 European elections.

Place ...